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Global economy

Yesterday

The budget changes came during a flurry of announcements from the Standing Committee of the National People’s Congress, the Communist Party-controlled parliament that oversees government borrowing.

Xi steps up economic aid with new debt issuance, PBOC visit

China’s legislature approved a plan to raise the fiscal deficit ratio for 2023 to about 3.8pc of GDP— well above the 3pc set in March.

  • Bloomberg News

This Month

Former Australian ambassador to the US, Joe Hockey, speaking in London

Ballooning debt could ‘come to a head’: Hockey

The former treasurer and ambassador to Washington worries that lax, spendthrift populism could turn unsustainable debt burdens into a default crisis.

  • Hans van Leeuwen

This is the epicentre of the next financial blow-up

A staggering $US350 billion of low-cost loans taken out by highly geared companies have to be refinanced in the next three years.

  • Karen Maley
Shelter prices, which make up about a third of the overall CPI index, accounted for over half of the increase in the monthly advance and were boosted by the biggest jump in hotel stays in two years.

US consumer prices rise at brisk pace for second straight month

The core consumer price index, which excludes food and energy, increased 0.3pc in September – another reminder that the path to 2pc inflation will be choppy.

  • Matthew Cranston
Country Garden said that it had not made a payment due on a $US60 million loan denominated in Hong Kong dollars.

Country Garden caves to debts as China’s real estate crisis worsens

Country Garden, once China’s largest home builder, said it was unable to repay a loan, signalling it was likely to default with near $300 billion in liabilities.

  • Daisuke Wakabayashi
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Claudia Goldin has won the Nobel Prize in economics.

Pay gap pioneer Claudia Goldin wins Nobel economics prize

The Harvard economist has devoted decades to identifying the sources of gender pay discrimination and the deep-rooted inequality for women in the workplace.

  • Simon Johnson and Johan Ahlander
ECB chief Christine Lagarde has hinted that interest rates in the region are likely to remain high.

Are we about to witness a replay of the eurozone debt crisis?

Many eurozone countries are now confronted with the highest borrowing costs in more than a decade, as the era of ultra-low interest rates comes to a brutal end.

  • Karen Maley
Demand for goods and, in turn, factory activity has not been strong since China abandoned its COVID-zero policy, Macquarie says.

China’s weak prices bring hope to West’s Christmas shoppers

Slow economic activity and a property sector downturn have depressed commodity prices and reduced input costs.

  • William Langley and Chan Ho-him
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell

US economy adds 336,000 jobs in stunning gain

Markets recovered on a strong September labour force report that showed a resilient economy but worsened ′ fears of another Federal Reserve rate rise.

  • Updated
  • Christopher Rugaber
Federal Reserve chairman Jerome Powell. The resilience in the US economy raises the risk of an interest rate hike before year end.

Lower weekly jobless claims boost US economic picture

The American economy’s continued resilience raises the risk of Federal Reserve lifting rates again by the end of the year.

  • Lucia Mutikani
A family takes photos on a section of the Great Wall during the national Golden Week holiday,

China becoming a ‘country of old men’

As things stand, a declining population is set to slow the economy’s growth, prompting a need for changes to the retirement age and internal migration rules.

  • Martin Wolf
National Day celebrations in Beijing this week. Economists expected China’s rebound from strict pandemic controls to be stronger and more sustained.

Asia faces one of its worst growth outlooks in 50 years: World Bank

The World Bank said it now expected China’s economic output would grow 4.4 per cent in 2024, down from the 4.8 per cent it expected in April.

  • Edward White and Mercedes Ruehl
A woman takes a selfie with her daughter on a street near Tiananmen Gate after a flag-raising ceremony on National Day in Beijing. Authorities are hoping for an economic boost from the holidays.

China pins hopes for economic boost on Golden Week holiday

Economists will be watching whether Chinese consumers use the eight-day break to spend not only on restaurants and outings but also on bigger-ticket items like property.

  • Joe Leahy

September

Factory output and retail sales growth in China began accelerating in August.

China’s economy stabilises, factory activity expands

The expansion in Chinese factory activity adds to a run of indicators that suggest the world’s second-largest economy has begun to bottom out.

  • Ryan Woo and Tina Qiao
Petrol prices have added to inflation fears.

Underlying US inflation pressures subside in August

But the report from the US Commerce Department showed overall prices remaining elevated, partly because of higher gasoline prices.

  • Lucia Mutikani
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The better than expected figures will be seized on by ministers as evidence of resilience in the face of the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades.

GDP revision gives Sunak pre-conference boost

The upward revision announced by the Office for National Statistics on Friday means Britain is no longer lagging every other major industrial nation in its recovery from the pandemic.

  • Andrew Atkinson and Philip Aldrick
Xi Jinping

How Xi Jinping is taking control of China’s stock exchange

By using listing and trading rules to direct capital into sectors that fit his priorities, the president wants the market to serve the state.

  • Hudson Lockett and Cheng Leng
Shoppers wait in line outside the Apple Fifth Avenue store in New York for last week’s launch of the new iPhone. The US consumer has proved particularly resilient.

America’s mini economic miracle may be fleeting

Biden-era spending has turbocharged growth — but the resulting debts may bring pain. When the stimulus and other temporary boosts wear off, the American economy could settle into a long, slow grind.

  • Ruchir Sharma
The Bank of England has paused its tightening cycle after 14 straight rate increases.

Bank of England hits pause on rate rises

In a tight vote, the central bank decided to let the impact of 14 straight interest rate increases play out, as inflation and the economy begin to cool.

  • Hans van Leeuwen
Can US banks avoid contagion from the deepening commercial real estate crisis?

Why we should worry about the US commercial property crisis

The deepening US commercial real estate crisis poses a fresh threat to small and midsize US banks, threatening to reignite the crisis of earlier this year.

  • Karen Maley