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Bulls & bears

This Month

Flooding in a West End street in February 2022.

Why are analysts so upbeat on IAG?

The insurer’s latest confession about old claims creeping up means it should have missed a key earnings target from last year.

  • Liam Walsh
Analysts are not yet sold on Bank of Queensland’s turnaround story.

Why analysts aren’t buying the BoQ turnaround yet

There was a telling moment of exasperation in Bank of Queensland’s annual result presentation last week.

  • Lucas Baird
Analysts are wondering if CBA can hold its nerve as rivals steal mortgage market share.

Is CBA’s share price overvalued?

Some brokers say the bank’s historical price-earnings premium is no longer justified amid tough competition to write mortgages. Others disagree.

  • James Eyers

September

The company has long flagged its ambition to cut headcount by 20 per cent compared with 2020 levels by 2024 to get costs under control.

Westpac starts from behind in institutional bank rev up

Jefferies says Westpac is “well behind the pack” after letting the institutional bank meander for a decade.

  • Lucas Baird
Perseus Mining managing director Jeff Quartermaine.

Rising gold star Perseus shakes up mining’s establishment

The miner has outperformed Northern Star and Evolution Mining on most financial metrics. What will it take for investors to get onboard?

  • Peter Ker
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August

PointsBet: Goodbye US, hello profit?

PointsBet’s price soared in 2020 as it put its stamp on the American market. With its US exit almost complete, analysts are wondering about long-term profitability.

  • Zoe Samios
Collins Foods operates 272 KFC outlets in Australia.

Australia’s KFC operator struggles to keep up the momentum

Collins Foods has been a surprise hot stock this year, but the sector is about to get more crowded as Wendy’s plans a major local push.

  • Simon Evans
Domino’s Pizza CEO Don Meij says that the chain must get its price points and product launches right to do well amid a crowded market,

Domino’s: is it time to reorder fallen pizza maker?

The one-time market darling has crashed back to earth and still has analysts split over its prospects.

  • Carrie LaFrenz

July

Ruslan Kogan started his business selling cheap TVs out of his parents’ garage, so running on the smell of an oily rag has never been a problem for him.

Kogan sales slump but shares surge as it goes back to basics

Ruslan Kogan started by selling TVs out of a garage, so running on the cheap has never been a problem, and investors are seeing the value of recent frugality.

  • Paul Smith
Testing for the life sciences industry is an area of expansion for ALS.

ALS taking no risks, but market on the fence

The global testing giant has its AGM this week, and all eyes will be on any earnings guidance after tremors struck in March.

  • Liam Walsh
Irregular players may not realise that Jumbo charges a huge premium over lottery tickets sold from physical vendors such as newsagents.

Luck and the street smile on Jumbo Interactive

A hot and cold year for jackpots has dimmed enthusiasm for lotteries reseller Jumbo Interactive, but a simple price increase will turn its fortunes around, analysts say.

  • Vesna Poljak
Analysts say APRA’s capital penalty could halt its growth by acquisitions as management adopts a conservative approach.

Medibank to become more conservative after capital hit: analysts

Special dividends, and even acquisitions, could be off the table after the health insurer was forced to tie up capital by the prudential regulator.

  • James Eyers
John Sharp is confident that the skies will clear in 2024.

Rex is on a different flight path to other airline stocks

Regional Express shares have halved since it secured the funds to expand into the golden triangle.

  • Ayesha de Kretser

June

The S3 Sydney Data Centre at Artarmon,.

AI gives NextDC a boost, but Microsoft’s data demands conquer shorts

NextDC short sellers have been left scrambling as AI lights up retail investor interest, but long-term, fundies are betting hyperscale contracts will keep rolling.

  • Jessica Sier
Eagers is the largest automotive dealership network in the country.

Nick Politis is betting big on Eagers. Should investors join him?

Investment banks are split on where the country’s largest dealership will go, but a surge in demand for electric vehicles is creating plenty of interest – and opportunity.

  • Simon Evans
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Wesfarmers CEO Rob Scott speaks at the annual strategy day in Sydney on May 30.

Rates, wages play havoc on Wesfarmers. Can it survive the storm?

Between the company’s investor day on Tuesday and the Fair Work Commission’s retail award decision on Friday, last week was a busy one.

  • Carrie LaFrenz

May

Plenti CEO Daniel Foggo.

Brokers say Plenti’s profit will jump in 2024 despite higher rates

Shaw and Partners says the personal lender’s cash net profit will rise 80 per cent this year on the back of growth in lending for new cars and rooftop solar.

  • James Eyers
This abandoned car was covered in snow in New York during the winter storm Elliott, which even stung an Australian insurer.

Aussie insurer QBE feels the chill from deadly US winter storms

A surprise blowout in claims shows one of the bear risks for insurer QBE – but can the bull upside of massive jumps in premiums outweigh the negatives?

  • Liam Walsh
Lithium is a key component in batteries, critical for the world’s transition away from fossil fuels.

Lithium’s mega-merger future-proofs Allkem

The merger will create the world’s third-largest lithium producer just as everyone needs more of the critical mineral.

  • Colin Packham
Some analysts are questioning whether investing in new gas projects is becoming “too hard”.

Can Woodside prevail in the gas wars?

Woodside’s near-term strategy largely hinges on growth in LNG, and there it faces mounting challenges, with the changes in the petroleum taxation regime only the latest.

  • Angela Macdonald-Smith