Skip to navigationSkip to contentSkip to footerHelp using this website - Accessibility statement
Advertisement

Australian economy

This Month

Economist Max Corden at Giorgio’s Restaurant in Malvern.

Max Corden: Vale Australia’s prophet of prosperity

Max Corden established the intellectual, but then politically heretical, case for dismantling Australia’s protectionist tariff wall.

  • The AFR View
RBA governor Michele Bullock made her maiden speech as governor in Sydney on Tuesday night.

Bullock squares up for inflation fight in first speech

It took only two minutes for Michele Bullock to refer back to Philip Lowe’s warning about high inflation. She is staying the course.

  • Anthony Macdonald
The first budget from NSW Labor Treasurer Daniel Mookhey has won support from Moody’s.

NSW scores ratings win from Moody’s

NSW Treasurer Daniel Mookhey’s debt turnaround plan has been ticked off by analysts from one of the major ratings agencies.

  • Samantha Hutchinson
Westpac’s economic team, now led by Luci Ellis, expects the Reserve Bank will keep rates on hold until next June.

The next RBA rate move will be down, says Westpac

The next move in interest rates will be down, says the bank’s economics team, which is now led by a highly regarded former Reserve Bank assistant governor.

  • Karen Maley
The toppling of House speaker Kevin McCarthy, centre left, on October 3 has triggered the latest bout of instability in Washington.

Unsustainable US debt is now looming on the horizon

Neither Biden nor Trump will reassure bond investors that America can cure its spending habits in time to prevent a crisis.

  • Sam Wylie
Advertisement
Many more skilled workers will be needed in the future, not least to enable the clean energy transformation.

How to get fiscal dividend from a jobs, skills and training virtuous cycle

Reforms in vocational and higher education, and migration, can realistically aim to promote economic growth and would more than repay the upfront investment cost.

  • Peter Dawkins
People visiting Australia for a short time could be caught up in the change.

Business travellers, tourists could be caught in new tax rules

A proposed 45-day test for paying tax in Australia risks a significant blowout in the number of people considered to be living and working in the country, experts warn.

  • Tom McIlroy
State Street Global’s Dwyfor Evans has a wider Asia Pacific remit, which a different lens on his coverage of the Australian economy. He was meeting with superannuation funds and institutional investors in Melbourne and Sydney late last week.

Pension funds hit reverse on $A bets

Real money investors globally – big pension funds, insurers and mutuals – were happily overweight the Australian dollar. Then they sold en masse.

  • Anthony Macdonald
Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi with the federal Member for Parramatta, Andrew Charlton, during his visit to Sydney in May.

Why Australia needs to take India seriously

The Asian giant is the source of significant numbers of migrants and its burgeoning economy offers opportunities for investment.

  • James Eyers
The current system isn’t working. That’s why Indigenous Australians are asking for a Voice.

Voice is about better value for the billions invested in Closing the Gap

One of the biggest lies of this referendum campaign is that it has come at the expense of a focus on the economy.

  • Jim Chalmers
Though most borrowers in Australia opt for monthly home loan repayments, making repayments fortnightly instead could provide greater savings.

Record-beating mortgage pain set to get worse: RBA

The record share of income spent on mortgages is set to increase even further, leading borrowers to dip into their savings to cope with the cost of living.

  • Michael Read and Jonathan Shapiro
Financial stress is creeping in for a small minority of borrowers.

The fixed rate mortgage ‘cliff’ was a myth

Households are well braced to withstand the 4 percentage point of interest rate increases so far, amid the possibility of more monetary policy tightening by the Reserve Bank.

  • John Kehoe
Barrenjoey chief economist Jo Masters says the savings buffer that has boosted Australian consumption could be gone by March.

Australia’s savings buffer gone by March, consumption to take a hit

Fixed rate mortgages, savings and a hot jobs market have sheltered households, but the dominoes are falling and economists worry the savings buffer is almost gone.

  • Anthony Macdonald
Boccaccio Cellars chief executive Anthony D’Anna has been forced to reduce imports from Italy while the Australian dollar is weak against the Euro, but AMP chief economist Shane Oliver says the situation could  get worse before it gets better.

Why your favourite prosecco may be getting harder to find

Importers, such as Melbourne’s Boccaccio Cellars, are hit hard by the Aussie’s plunge in value against the euro and the $US over the past year.

  • Gus McCubbing
RBA governor Michele Bullock faces a tough 12 months.

RBA exposes magic number for housing, banks

Households are holding up reasonably well under the strain of higher interest rates. But a rise in unemployment would cause real pain.

  • James Thomson
Advertisement
The rental crisis is one predictable factor for Michele Bullock amid the global economic turmoil.

Bullock’s predictable problem in an unpredictable world

The confusion roiling global markets won’t end, but Australia’s rental crisis is a more fundamental imbalance of supply and demand. It means the RBA governor’s job won’t get any easier.

  • Jennifer Hewett
Treasurer Jim Chalmers releasing the employment white paper.

Chalmers must do more on IR to reach full employment

Sooner or later, the treasurer will need to translate the worthy ambitions of the employment white paper into a clear set of actionable policy prescriptions.

  • Stephen Miller
Incoming RBA governor Michele Bullock is inheriting a difficult outlook.

What to watch in Michele Bullock’s first rates call

The RBA looks almost certain to keep rates on hold, but Michele Bullock’s first statement as governor will provide clues on her view where inflation and the economy is going. 

  • James Thomson

September

People are drawing down more from the bank accounts and spending less at stores as interest rate rises eat into their savings.

RBA squeezed by oil, spending, $A shocks

Households have drawn down on their bank account savings for the first time since 2007, as higher borrowing costs also squeeze retail spending.

  • Updated
  • John Kehoe and Simon Evans
RBA governor Michele Bullock and Treasurer Jim Chalmers.

Chalmers’ jobs for ‘everyone’ tests RBA unemployment warning

Jim Chalmers won’t be constrained by the RBA’s non-inflationary estimate of full employment, outlining ambitions to keep the jobless rate as low as possible so “everyone who wants a job can find one”.

  • John Kehoe and Michael Read